Chiefs Vs Browns Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, QB Matchup, Injury News, Betting Trends And Stats

The Chiefs are small road favorites when they visit the Browns, who will look​ tо play spoiler.

Kansas City snuck out another victory, beating the Chargers​ оn​ a last-second field goal​ tо win 19-17. The Chiefs are 12-1​ оn the season and have won the past three games​ by​ a combined seven points (Panthers, Raiders, Chargers). Kansas City has won​ a game​ by more than seven points since Week​ 7 against the 49ers.

Cleveland​ іs 3-10 this season and out​ оf the playoff race,​ sо the Browns will play spoiler for the remainder​ оf the season. The Browns’ defense has allowed​ 27​ оr more points​ іn three​ оf the past four games and are 1-3 since the bye week. Jameis Winston has been​ a positive sign for this team​ as​ he threw for 334, 395, and 497 yards​ іn three​ оf six starts.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

Game Odds For Chiefs Vs. Browns

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (-198), Los Angeles Chargers (+164)
  • Spread: Chiefs -4 (-110)
  • Total: 44.0

The line opened at Kansas City -6.5 and has been bet down to Chiefs -4 or -4.5 at most shops. The Chiefs have won the last three games by a combined seven points, so it’s not surprising to see the spread drop on the road. The total has barely moved from 43.5 to 44.0 as both are defensive-first teams.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Patrick Mahomes to go Under 0.5 interceptions versus the Browns:

“Patrick Mahomes has 12 touchdowns to two interceptions over the last six games with both picks coming against the Bills.

Mahomes has not thrown an interception in five of the past six games after opening the season with seven consecutive games with an interception.

Cleveland has four interceptions on the year, ranking tied for third-worst only ahead of the Giants (2) and Jets (2). The Browns’ defense hasn’t been as opportunistic as years prior. If Mahomes doesn’t turn the ball over, Kansas City should walk away with another win. I like Mahomes Under 0.5 interceptions as one of my best bets.

Cleveland Browns Vs. Kansas City Chiefs Team Stats, Betting Trends

  • Kansas City is 5-8 ATS this season, ranking bottom 10.
  • Cleveland is tied with the second-worst ATS record at 4-9.
  • The Chiefs are 2-2 ATS as a road favorite and the Browns are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
  • Both the Chiefs and Browns are 7-6 to the Under.
  • Patrick Mahomes has 12 touchdowns to 2 interceptions over the last six games.
  • Jameis Winston has 334 or more yards in three of his six starts.
  • Nick Chubb recorded 48 rushing yards last week, his fourth-highest mark on the season.
  • Jerry Jeudy has 64 or more yards in six straight games.
  • Travis Kelce recorded 60-plus yards in five of the last seven games.

Quarterback Matchup For Cleveland Vs. Kansas City

  • Cleveland: Jameis Winston – Winston has 14 total touchdowns to nine interceptions on the season. In his six starts, Winston has 13 total touchdowns to nine picks and 1,892 passing yards. The Browns’ offense has averaged 20.5 points per game in those six starts.
  • Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes – Mahomes has 12 touchdowns to two interceptions over the last six games and tossed 266 or more yards in four of those contests. After starting the season with an interception in seven consecutive games, Mahomes has cleaned up his play and recorded 3,189 passing yards, 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions overall.

Chiefs And Browns Injury Update

Kansas City’s WR’s Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery), Mecole Hardman (knee) and Rashee Rice (leg) are all out, along with TE Jared Wiley (knee) and K Spencer Shrader (hamstring).

For the Browns, DB Juan Thornhill (calf) is questionable, TE David Njoku (hamstring) is doubtful, OT Jedrick Wills (knee), LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (neck), DT Mike Hall (knee) are out.

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